Betfair Soccer World Cup
Qatar is the first west Asian nation and also the smallest country to host a FIFA World Cup. With unique attractions, spectacular, state-of-the-art stadiums and the added bonus of traditional Arab. Betfair International Plc is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority. Licence Number: MGA/CL3/454/2008 17th March 2015, Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. Trading football on the Betfair betting exchange allows you to profit regardless of who goes onto the win the underlying football match. All you need to know about trading The World Cup Russia 2018 How to make money at the World Cup (so far) Soccer Mystic - Overview. Using Soccer Mystic to examine incentive to score. Football on the Betfair Exchange lets you set the odds yourself on over 871 Football events. Bet on top markets like: English Premier League; Scottish Premiership; UEFA Champions League. Choose from over 155 Football competitions, and place a Football bet, either for an.
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Two Keys To Betting
Until the dawning of the new millennium no one really backed singles in soccer, so the only time people would have a punt on football would be at the pools or maybe in accumulators of odds that might’ve been published in a newspaper the day before.
Betfair not only introduced (the much easier to work with) decimal form of odds but they also innovated by allowing you to bet in-running. This meant that odds became dynamic and you could bet on what you were watching at the time rather than what you’d watched in the past.
This combination of the two opened betting up to a huge new mass of people that loved soccer – including the gambling-crazy South East Asian part of the world who previously had to make do with Totes on Racing.
The market exploded in no time.
The Asian Handicap Influence
Asian Handicap betting is now the biggest market in the world. It’s not uncommon to be able to get $1 million down on a game without moving a market. Try doing that in a Country Maiden!
Over the past 10 years, soccer has been propelled even higher into the stratosphere by standing on the shoulders’ of a pair of giants in Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. Every competitive game they play in commands a global audience rarely shy of a billion people and many of those viewers love a punt. Eventually bettors will find their way to Betfair due to the Exchange having the lowest margins in the industry and, in turn, the liquidity grows and grows.
Grassroots Across The Globe
It’s not just the top level soccer that people bet on though. Betfair covers hundreds of leagues and within each game there are typically dozens of markets to get stuck into. For the bigger games all of the main subsidiary markets like Over / Under goals, Half-Time / Full-Time and Goal Scorer will be as liquid as any bettor needs.
When games begin the liquidity tends to remain – though the percentage of pre-match bets on soccer are larger on the Exchange than cricket or tennis – and bettors are protected by Betfair suspending markets when a goal is scored or a player is sent off. This assures in-play traders that they won’t get their fingers burnt by courtsiders. As a result, people are happy to leave money up which again creates liquidity.
Soccer is the only truly global sport. You can find matches to bet on every day of the year on The Exchange.
Market and Liquidity Formation
Time Distribution Of Bets Placed
The Time Distribution Of Bets Placed displays the key days betting occurs on the Premier League, and more specifically the key times within those days. With the time difference between Australia and the United Kingdom, matches typically occur overnight between 9pm-9am. As a result, the major peaks on the graph are evident Saturday night/Sunday morning and Sunday night/Monday morning. While fixturing often fluctuates, with Cup competitions and the dense Christmas/New Year schedule prompting midweek matches, a ‘normal’ Saturday has 6-7 matches and therefore betting is heavily focused after 8pm, as the feature match has a 9:30pm kickoff (11:30pm during daylight savings). The midweek element can be seen in the overnight slots on a Wednesday and Thursday in particular.
Time Distribution Of Volume
Time Distribution Of Volume shows the key days and times of EPL Market Liquidity and the total amount present in the Exchange during those sectors. The impact of time difference is again relevant and visible, with over $35 million coming through during matchday Saturday (Saturday night/Sunday morning Australian time). As a popular overseas product, Liquidity forms relatively early.
Volume By Weeks shows each individual round of Premier League football and the total volume, both pre-play and in-play. The excitement of a new season causes the highest pre-play volume in Week 1 ($2.3 million), which more than doubles the next highest in Week 2. The significance of Christmas/New Year matches stands out, as in-play volume during this period far exceeds all other weeks and yields the biggest total volume throughout the season ($2.6 million). Notably, $490,000 was traded on December 26th, driven by Leicester v Everton and Southampton v Tottenham.
Volume By Market
Volume By Market illustrates the specific betting options Betfair punters are focusing on for Premier League matches. The two most popular markets are match odds ($15.3 million) and over/under goals ($13.3 million). Being a sport with a lower likelihood of scoring comparative to other sports, particularly football codes, may be a mitigating factor for the interest in over/under markets.
Volume By Team – Match Odds
Volume By Team – Match Odds shows the most popular Premier League teams in terms of volume. In the vast majority of EPL seasons, the pecking order remains predictable as Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United and Tottenham jockey for supremacy at the top of the table. This is reflected in the volume, with Manchester United a clear leader ($1.84 million) before a similar spread for the other five teams. The draw also produces a noteworthy result, with the second highest volume ($1.58 million) coming through the stalemate source.
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Promo Arbing
We’ve discussed promotional arbitrage, or match betting, several times before. It’s a great way for savvy punters to pursue profit while minimising risk.
Where to Start
To know which offers are available you can visit each individual bookmaker or you can use some third party websites. For a comprehensive list of sign up offers, check out Punters. Or Racenet.
You can use these sign up free bets to arbitrage World Cup Futures or match odds.
For example, you can back Argentina to be the Best South American Team on Sportsbet at $3.50. Then you can lay it back on the Betfair Exchange at $3.45.
If the odds move on this Sportsbet offer, you can find similar opportunities by using Odds. This comparison tool can help you find betting selections that get closest to the Betfair Lay price.
Some other examples we found are:
| Bookmaker | Market | Selection | Odds | Betfair Lay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | To Reach 1/4 Final | Brazil | $1.50 | $1.47 |
| Neds | To Reach 1/4 Final | Spain | $1.60 | $1.49 |
| Neds | Top Goalscorer | Diego Costa | $34 | $32 |
| Neds | Top South American | Uruguay | $8.50 | $7.80 |
| Ubet/Centrebet | Top South American | Uruguay | $8 | $7.80 |
| Ladbrokes | Top South American | Peru | $51 | $44 |
| Ladbrokes | Reach Final | Serbia | $67 | $55 |
| Topbetta | Reach Final | Brazil | $3.50 | $3.45 |
Odds correct at 12 noon on 8/6/18.
Daily World Cup Offers
On top of the sign up bonuses, there’s arguably more opportunity in the promotions for each match. For a comprehensive list, successful Betfair clients tell us that the best resource is Bonus Money. It’s here that you’ll find every promo for the 2018 World Cup.
Futures Offer
One simple offer that may be worth your time is at William Hill. Providing they you to bet on promotions, you can place a $70 bet into the 2018 winner market and get $12.50 in bonuses for each game your team wins. This can be a simple back and lay opportunity for a team that is expected to go deep into the competition. For example:
Back Spain with William Hill for $70 at odds of $7. Then Lay Spain with $64.90 at $7.60 for a qualifying loss of -$8.34.
You’ll get a bonus worth $12.50 for each time Spain win. If Spain win all of their group and final matches, you’ll collect $100 in bonus bets.
Daily Gameplan
A more complex and lucrative option is using the following offers from UBET, TAB and Sportsbet:
- UBET – Place a win result bet and if your team leads at any time but goes on to draw, get bonus bets back up to $50.
- TAB – Place a win result bet and if your team leads at any time but goes on to draw, get bonus bets back up to $50.
- Sportsbet – Your bet will be paid out in full if your team is winning at half time but the team goes on to draw or lose. Max stake $500.
You could use a dutch betting strategy to back one team on UBET and another team on TAB with $50, then back the draw on Betfair. Your best result would be either team scoring and the game ending in a draw.
There are other strategies that you could use with these promotions as well, depending on your risk appetite.
Lastly, let’s look at the Sportsbet offer.
If you were to bet $500 on Sportsbet on Saudi Arabia at odds of $11 (current at 12 noon 8/6/18), you could lay Saudi Arabia at odds of $12 on Betfair. Using a matched betting calculator you could get a matched bet with a qualifying cost of -$62.76.
If Saudi Arabia lead at half time but then fail to win the game, you will return a sizeable profit of $5,460. If that doesn’t happen, you take the net loss of $62.76
Betfair Soccer World Cup 2022
Conclusion
The 2018 World Cup will be a popular period for professional promo arbers. It’s a good idea to re-check bookmaker websites or third party tools like Bonus Money each day as some promotions are only released on game day. Knowing all of the available promotions before betting can improve your strategy and maximise your profits. As can minimising risk by laying promotional offers on the Betfair Exchange.
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